I’ll keep it short this time. It’s nice to see BIFFOT, Starched Suit and Eamonn Gilmore, the respective leaders of the main parties in this state saying how important the treaty is for the future of Ireland at a press conference yesterday. This and many other commentators have been arguing that for a few months how. This vote is extremely important for our future and hopefully the Irish electorate will embarass the motley crew above who don’t want to have to go back to their European party colleagues and explain to them that the referendum wasn’t ‘in the bag’ as they say. This is the most important vote the Irish people have ever had (and will ever have if they ratify it). It affects the lives of half a billion people, most of which are not being given the opportunity to have a say on this treaty and many of which (around 80 million) have already rejected some of the contents of the treaty in earlier referenda.
A few people have said to me that it’s a credit to Europe that we’re getting to vote on this. Actually, it’s got little to do with Europe and everything to do with Bunreacht Na h’Eireann. Lisbon is truly the biggest sourest lemon an Irish government has ever tried to sell us.
If you’re still feeling like voting yes then read Shane Ross’s blog post on the subject. Having read that if you still want to vote Yes I suggest you spend the rest of this week in Estonia looking for investment property bargains safe in the knowledge that the “soft landing” is just around the corner.
Month: June 2008
they don’t get it
I’m talking about the Lisbon Treaty again, obviously. There were several Lisbon related radio interviews with senior members of the government as they seek to promote a Yes vote. If their minds were sharpened by the reported swing to No in the Irish times then there was little evidence of it. I’ll summarise the interviews with my own partisan if, hopefully, accurate recollections.
Mary Harney was on George Hook’s Newstalk show. She wants everyone to know the health service is doing better than you think. She also wants everyone to be aware that the scare tactics that may be used by some No campaigners are nonsense. It was so important to get this point across that she launched into a tirade at the start of his show without waiting for him to ask a question. It’s not going to bring about abortion in Ireland or an end to our (partisan?) neutrality, directly anyway. Although it may be premature to suggest involvement in a European defence force is off the table.
Anyway, George hit her with one of his famous verbal right hooks when he pointed out that none of the callers, texters and emailers believed the rumours anyway. These were a “non-issue”. So the swing to No is not about rumours, it’s about people simply not being able to understand a highly and IMHO deliberately complex document that their government is suggesting they sign without reading.
Pat Kenny gave the Taoiseach a grilling. He repeatedly called him “minister” which was quite funny. Our Taoiseach doesn’t feel you should read it, just sign the dotted line. You have to do it because we’ll just be asked to vote again as there’s “no plan B”. It’s nice that our BIFFO Taoiseach (BIFFOT) thinks he’s the ruler of some kind of quasi dictatorship where he feels he can openly declare intent to wear the electorate (his subjects?) down until they do his bidding. Pat put him on the spot by reminding him that he had said before assuming the role of Taoiseach that the leader should be “held accountable for the result of the treaty referendum”. BIFFOT stated that he wasn’t going to step down a month after taking office. Pat didn’t let it go and the conclusion to the interview was enjoyably stormy.
Even funnier was Dick Roche’s insistence to Joe Duffy that it’s just one of those contracts that you sign but don’t read. Hey Dick, do you want to buy a bridge in Brooklyn? Sure why would you bother when we can trust in the negotiating powers of these fine (pathetic excuse for) leaders? Joe asked him to provide 5 reasons why they should vote yes. Dick’s waffle suggested that he didn’t know any but felt we should be “good Europeans”. A mantra he reiterated again and again.
So who will be disappointed if we vote No? Germany. That’s about it. Some of the eastern european countries may feel we’ve let them down but they’ll get over it as they’re still free to come and work here. However, any perception that we’ve let our fellow Europeans down should be tempered by national concerns. After all, we elected these muppets to rule Ireland. If we accede to this we’re letting our nation down. We’ll cast aside the blood and toil of the founders or our state that our duplicitous politicians of all parties celebrate when the fancy takes them. We’ll render our own imperfect but well intenioned constituion redundant. We’re letting future generations down as we cede our sovereignty to a federal superstate of which we are a tiny part. A fraction of a percent in a Qualified Majority Vote. We already have a constitution and laws so I don’t mind if unanimity on voting in the EU means the tail (ireland) sometimes wags the proverbial dog (germany, france etc.)
To understand the implications of ratifiaction for Ireland it’s worth thinking about the most salient symbol of our EU involvement to date, the Euro and the EMU. Consider the effect of a rise in ECB interest rates on the turbulent Irish economy. On Irish homeowners who are struggling to pay their inflated mortgages? It’s arguably the wrong thing for Ireland right now and no Irish government would independently take that approach. But no Irish government can now decide as the ECB has responsibilty for the EuroZone where we are a tiny part. We’ve ridden our luck as low interest rates suited Germany’s long period of rebuilding following reunification. It currently doesn’t suit and Ireland finds itself entirely beholden to the economic policy of another country with none of the usual mechanisms (interest rates, currency control) to control the supply/demand valve.
So you can view the Lisbon Treaty as like the EMU with its lack of control for a small country like us but for social issues also. It really streamlines the decision making process when you can use your assumed power, population and wealth to dictate financial and social policy to less powerful countries for their own good. Ratification of this treaty will absolutely help Europe to function better, more efficiently. If you’re german or perhaps french.
But the French don’t want this as they’re a proud and patriotic bunch with their own ideas of social governance as represented by their liberty, fraternity and equality tricolour. Just remember that France and the Netherlands rejected the EU constitution in 2005. Extracts from that find their way unmodified into this document but France and the Netherlands are not being asked to vote again. This kind of political chicanery has been the resort of despots and tyrants throughout history. I genuinely believe that many of the architects of both the EU consitution and this treaty are well intentioned and brilliant individuals. However, believing in democratic government is a committment to the theory that the “end doesn’t justify the means” and that the people (demos in ancient greek) should be able to exercise power (cratos…) Therefore the commission’s approach to ratifying this treaty is simply unreasonable. Instead of the people, the treaty is being put to members of European super parties in their national parliaments to vote along party lines. Again, the process becomes much more.. efficient!
Voting No to Lisbon is step one is reasserting our right to manage our own country. It’s a vote for democratic governance throughout Europe. The next step would be to find a group of leaders who are up to the job.
An economist?
I’ve become fascinated with economics again, must be the celtic tiger’s mysterious disappearance after the last election. The dismal science just seems juicier when the financial auguries are being read for signs of impending salvation or damnation. Be it property busts or peak oil, a financial apocalypse seems only a few years around the corner. I was going to read Adam Smith’s seminal Wealth of Nations again but PJ Rourke’s helpful critical review and analysis is an entertaining starting point and several hundred pages shorter. There’s a great line in it defining an economist as
“someone who knows 101 ways to make love but doesn’t have a girlfriend”
Seems about right. I’m in Athens at the moment, the birthplace of (pseudo) democracy. It’s a fun city to spend some time with an attractive mix of history, weather, affordability. Reminds me of home 🙂
Craig Venter on TED
Those interested in genetics should really watch Craig Venter’s presentation on TED. Craig is one of the world’s greatest scientists who has evolved the field of genetics over the past 15 years with feats such as the mapping of the human genome by his former company, Celera. His TED presentation is about creating synthetic life, in this case designing a bacteria (unicellular micro-organisms). This has important repercussions in the design and creation of new fuel sources which reduce the worlds reliance on fossil fuels by creating designer fuels with better characteristics. Currently they’re using mechanisms to essential recombine the chromosomes of existing organisms (e.g. e-coli) but the future is full biodesign and assembly without the need for a transformative process on existing organsisms. “Life from scratch”.
Craig suggests he’s around 18 months away from creating a “4th generation fuel” (designed to produce octane with C02 as it’s fuel)) but scale of manufacture and efficiency of carbon capture are the real issues here. Example, there are organisms out there that have evolved to produce octane but they didn’t evolve to be refineries of the scale we require for the petrochemical industry. Also fascinating is the approach of experimenting with thousands (or millions) of bacterial combinations to try and evolve a super fuel. It’s heady stuff and I sincerely hope he gets there.